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November 13, 2012
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  Top Stories 
  • Harsh 3.5% economic shrinkage confronts Japanese authorities
      
    Maehara/Reuters
    Japan's economy shrank at a surprising 3.5% annualized rate in the third quarter, piling new pressure on the government to act immediately to provide stimulus. "Judging from recent economic indicators, the possibility cannot be ruled out that the Japanese economy is already in a recessionary phase," said Seiji Maehara, minister of economic and fiscal policy. The latest pullback was broadly based, encompassing exports, consumption and business investment. The Wall Street Journal (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

  • Japan's consumers retreat to safety amid economic gloom
    One of the core problems facing Japan's economy is a stark absence of consumer confidence, with people reluctant to spend while the immediate future remains so clouded. "People have no incentive to take risks. They are just putting money into banks, and it's very unlikely they will move to securities in the future," said Masamichi Adachi, a senior economist at JPMorgan Securities Japan in Tokyo and a former central bank official. Bloomberg Businessweek (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • India's industrial output swings to negative ground
    Surprising analysts who had forecast modest growth, India's industrial output fell 0.4% in September, and the country's trade deficit for October grew. Higher gold and petroleum prices drove the October rise in imports while exports declined 1.63% from a year before. High interest rates are contributing to the industrial slowdown even as confidence wanes over promised policy reforms. The Wall Street Journal (11/12) , The Hindu (India) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • Greek lawmakers approve more cuts, but funding gap remains
      
    Reuters
    In a political move key to further financial aid, the Greek Parliament approved €9.4 billion in additional austerity-driven budget cuts for next year. Meanwhile, creditors calculate that Greece will still have a funding gap of about €15 billion through 2014 and more beyond that. BBC (11/12) , Bloomberg (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

  • German economy is expected to slow further
    The German economy is likely to extend its recent trend of deceleration, with only 0.2% growth expected for the third quarter, down from 0.3% in the second quarter and 0.5% in the first. The eurozone slowdown is finally taking a toll in Germany, where companies have recently put off needed investment and lost export market share. Reuters (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • New data likely to shake case for U.K. recovery
    New U.K. data due this week are expected to put a damper on the optimism ignited by strong growth in the third quarter as rising unemployment and prices take their toll. In sum, this week's figures are likely to show that the country is "far from out of the economic woods," said Howard Archer, IHS Global Insight's chief U.K. and European economist. The Telegraph (London)(tiered subscription model) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • U.S. lawmakers from both parties see little chance of going off "cliff"
      
    Conrad/Reuters
    Top politicians in both U.S. parties are predicting that the "fiscal cliff" will be avoided. Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad, a Democrat, said he thinks lawmakers can reach a "framework agreement" that would push key tax and spending committees to address budget concerns for next year. Meanwhile, Republican Sen. Bob Corker said the likelihood is small that automatic cuts under the "fiscal cliff" scenario will occur. Bloomberg (11/11) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

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  Market Activities 
  • INTERNATIONAL MARKETS OVERVIEW
    "Fiscal cliff" and eurozone worries, particularly over the situation in Greece, weighed on shares in Europe and the U.S. as the week opened on Monday. The Stoxx Europe 600 lost 0.27% to end the day at 269.53, and the S&P 500 was basically unchanged at 1,380.03 in thin trading. Here is a continuously updated list of global stock indexes. The Wall Street Journal (11/13) , Bloomberg Businessweek (11/12) , CNNMoney (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • Japan's GDP contraction unsettles Asian markets
    Shares across Asia took their cue Monday from Japan's unexpectedly sharp economic contraction, something that is feared could grow into another persistent regional worry. The Nikkei fell 0.93% to 8,676.44, the Kospi was off 0.19% at 1,900.87, the S&P/ASX was down 0.31% to 4,448.00, and the Hang Seng edged up 0.21% to 21,430.30. Bloomberg Businessweek (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  Economic Trends & Outlook 
  • Global business confidence ebbs to new low in survey
    After three years of measuring global business confidence, Markit has recorded a new low in its latest survey. However, in the U.S. and China, the outlook isn't quite as grim as it was a year ago, "suggesting 2013 may turn out to be a better year for the world's two largest economies than 2012," commented Markit chief economist Chris Williamson. TheAsset.com (Hong Kong) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • Moody's scales back growth outlook for G-20
      
    Reuters
    The outlook for growth is dimmer than earlier forecast for the Group of 20 nations' advanced and developing economies alike, according to Moody's, which now projects overall growth in the group of 2.7% this year and 3% in 2013. "Fiscal consolidation and volatility in financial markets will continue to weigh on business and consumer confidence, while heightened uncertainty hampers spending, hiring and investment decisions," Moody's said. Bloomberg Businessweek (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

  • South Korea holds back on stimulus until need is great
    Even though South Korea's economy is weakening, the country should hold back from stimulus for now and wait for when it's really needed, said Finance Minister Bahk Jae-wan. Bahk acknowledged the many struggles of ordinary Koreans but said it would be "irresponsible" to launch measures that would prove ineffective now and prevent strong action at crucial junctures in the future. Yonhap News Agency (South Korea) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

  • Slight falloff is seen in Malaysia's 3rd-quarter growth
    Government spending helped counter a dropoff in Malaysia's exports in the third quarter, with economic growth in the period pegged at a 4.8% pace, down from 5.4% in the previous quarter, economists say. "The drag on growth has come from the external sector, where the trade balance has narrowed, with exports stagnating and imports of capital and consumer goods rising amid sustained domestic demand," said Daniel Wilson, an economist with ANZ in Singapore. The Business Times (Singapore) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  • Philippine FDI plummets as global woes grow
    Foreign direct investment in the Philippines plunged to just US$13 million in August from US$76 billion a year before as investors retreated amid general concerns over an unsteady global economy, particularly in the U.S. and Europe. The latest figure was also down sharply from a US$108 million inflow in July. Business World (Philippines) (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
  Capital Markets & Financial Products 
  • RQFII ETFs with dual counters attract investors
      
    Reuters
    Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor exchange-traded funds saw a big influx of institutional investors from around the world last week when two Chinese fund houses added Hong Kong trading counters. The dual-counter model introduced by CSOP and E Fund Management allows investors to buy and sell RQFII ETFs using either renminbi or Hong Kong dollars. AsianInvestor.net (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story

  Industry & Regulatory Update 
  • EU's AIFMD might cause industry shakeout that extends to Asia
    A wave of investment industry consolidation extending to Asia might be one major result of the EU's Alternative Investment Funds Management Directive and its attendant reforms, experts said at the International Transfer Agency Summit Asia 2012 in Hong Kong. The central problem stems from the policy of imposing liability on custodians for loss of assets. AsianInvestor.net (11/12) LinkedInFacebookTwitterEmail this Story
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